Sunday Dec 14, 2008

The Weekly Portion: No need for America's 'nuclear umbrella'

Posted by Dr. MK Ephraim Sneh
Comments: 13
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This week, although I was deeply engrossed in the successful primaries of the "Strong Israel" party (the first primaries in the world to be conducted entirely via the Internet, without a hitch, and with a 93% voter-turnout) my attention was drawn to the headline that the new American administration is going to offer Israel a "nuclear umbrella" in case of an attack by Iran.

This is not necessarily good news. This offer, more than it speaks of a friendship toward Israel, expresses an American resignation to the nuclearization of Iran. The 'nuclear umbrella' is meant to bring about an Israeli resignation to this reality. What the proposal means is that America will threaten Iran with a 'second strike' in response to any attack on Israel's cities with nuclear weapons.

It must be clearly stated: we have no need for an American 'second strike' response. Such a response, for an Israel struck by nuclear weapons, would come too late; and I believe that we will be able to respond by ourselves.

An American action is needed not for the response of a second strike, but so as to keep Iran from making a first strike. That first strike can still be prevented if the Ayatollah's regime is struck. Not struck militarily, but struck economically, so that it is no longer able to govern in Iran. The declining price of oil is creating budgetary difficulties for the Iranian regime. Its budget has been built on an expectation of an oil price of 80 dollars to the barrel, and now that price has dropped to below 50 dollars. If effective sanctions are put in place now, this will effectively destabilize the regime. The necessary sanctions are these:

1. A complete boycott of the entire Iranian banking system.

2. An end to the sale of refined oil products, especially gasoline, to Iran. About half of Iran's consumption of oil is imported from beyond its borders.

3. An end to the provision of spare parts and to all investments in the Iranian oil and gas industries.

It will be enough if the United States and its traditional allies, Canada, Britain and Australia, along with another large country or two in Europe, join in upholding these sanctions, for them to work.

The task for the United States now under Obama is to lead the economic campaign against Iran. This is preferable to a military campaign, and certainly to a futile diplomacy. The policy of engagement led by Europe the last few years has allowed Iran to gain time and progress to the acquisition of the bomb.

If the new American administration does indeed offer Israel such a nuclear umbrella, instead of taking a determined economic action, the offer should be politely declined. We do not need it. Israel's security must not be placed in the hands of foreigners, however friendly. We shall deter our enemies by ourselves, and if we are left alone in any case, must not count on anyone but ourselves.

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1  |   AlexanderZ, Sunday Dec 14, 2008
The only viable and effective 'nuclear umbrella' is the preventive one. Start preventing now!
2  |   Liddie, Sunday Dec 14, 2008
I don't think you read the map correctly. Nobody's asking what she thinks. Iran has oil what does Israel have? The U.S. has billions hostile because of Palestinian issue. And it looks like Israel's already too willing leaders are in for more willing. Did anyone ask Israel if it wants a hostile state beside it? But the whole world seems to be pressing Israel's already too willing leaders for more willing. Do you think you've discovered something new by saying it's too late for Israel for a U.S. second strike??? The only thing you guys did securtiy wise was to come down hardest on your own people
3  |   Alam india, Sunday Dec 14, 2008
It is better to adopt gandhiji way of thinking that is non voilence
4  |   Modad.Iran, Sunday Dec 14, 2008
I agree, right nowis the best time to increase pressure on Iranian regime by applying & inforcing more serious sanctions. This regime will change its behavior when it face more internal problem. Econamic hardship will intesify internal oppsion to the regim.Its the only way to cause its down fall.
5  |   Mike Carroll, Monday Dec 15, 2008
Israel is commanded not to make peace with their enemies. I would love to see the blessings Israel receives when they finally quit being tougher on their own people than the enemy. Israel needs to attack and destroy their enemies who are trying to destroy them. It was Two sons of Jacob that defeated the enemy and only Two, Jonathan and his armor bearer that defeated their enemies...Because they were obedient and were not afraid. Are there not at least Two people in Israel that are not afraid to do the right thing?
6  |   Gábor Fränkl Budapest, Hungary, Monday Dec 15, 2008
Ephraim Sneh's political lining may not be to my personal liking - far from it, but here he is valiantly saying what needs be said. Kudos to Mr. Sneh! Great - I rated you with a 5!
7  |   Eitan Levy, Bat Ayin - Israel, Monday Dec 15, 2008
Thank you Ephraim. Hashem yishmor!
8  |   causeless love, Monday Dec 15, 2008
Instead of hating, start loving your fellow Jews for a change and heavenly decree will sway in your favour towards real peace.
9  |   Adina Kutnicki, Monday Dec 15, 2008
Generally I disagree with Sneh, but on this issue I agree - a nuclear umbrella from the US is pointless, and very dangerous too. While crippling the regime financially might have worked several years ago, they are too far along now. The Iranian Hilter cares little about financial pain if he can wipe us out. Truth be told, the only hope is in following Professor Louis Beres's 'Project Daniel'a, which was given to Sharon & Bush in 2003. Too bad Sharon was busy elsewhere, trying to buy his way out of jail to take heed.Bush clearly did not sense the urgency. Therefore, pre-emption is it.
10  |   generation gap, Monday Dec 15, 2008
It seems to me that the torah of your secularist leaders is do what outsiders think instead of what you know to be correct. Your lack of action in the face of attacks etc.shows how your enemies are filled with fight like your recent fathers were for their own but sadly you today have lost the fight and instead you raise your hands.
11  |   Lars, Mad City, USA, Monday Dec 15, 2008
This is a joke, right? You can't possibly believe that the United States, the UN, or ANY other country is going to prevent Iran from getting their bomb? If it isn't already in the protective shelter, it sure will be. Dr. Sneh, you are correct that the powers in the United States, occupied as they are with a finanacial crisis, NEVER intended to do anything but talk about Iran and a Nuke. It is, as it always has been "an Isreali problem"...if not now, it will be. The UN and Europe won't lift a finger either. Peaceful men like you shall one day know that "talk" is only good for tea parties.
12  |   Daniel Gritsky, London, Tuesday Dec 16, 2008
What's interesting is that americans tend to view guns and weapons differently than non-americans do. For instance, if you check out [ Link to page ] you can see a survey that clearly shows americans want to be in control of weapons much differently than internationals do. Pretty interesting
13  |   Brian Sandridge CT, USA, Monday Feb 16, 2009
If America won't even establish a naval blockade on Iran, and do all the other things mentioned above like economic boycott by the Anglosphere with maybe EU support, why would anyone believe that the US would retaliate with a nuclear strike on Iran. What if Russia places an "umbrella" around Iran? Will the US trade say Seattle for Tel Aviv? No, Israel better recall that only the God of Abraham, Isaac, and Jacob has brought them like Wings of the Eagle back to the land promised their ancestors. Do not lean on weak reeds!
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The Weekly Portion Former Deputy Defense Minister Dr. MK Ephraim Sneh comments on the headlines of the past week.

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Recent Comments

Brian Sandridge CT, USA: If America won't even establish a naval blockade on Iran, and do all the other things mentioned above like economic boycott by the Anglosphere with maybe EU support, why would anyone believe that the US would retaliate with a nuclear strike on Iran. What if Russia places an "umbrella" around Iran? Will the US trade say Seattle for Tel Aviv? No, Israel better recall that only the God of Abraham, Isaac, and Jacob has brought them like Wings of the Eagle back to the land promised their ancestors. Do not lean on weak reeds!
Daniel Gritsky, London: What's interesting is that americans tend to view guns and weapons differently than non-americans do. For instance, if you check out http://www.thegunpoll.com you can see a survey that clearly shows americans want to be in control of weapons much differently than internationals do. Pretty interesting
Lars, Mad City, USA: This is a joke, right? You can't possibly believe that the United States, the UN, or ANY other country is going to prevent Iran from getting their bomb? If it isn't already in the protective shelter, it sure will be. Dr. Sneh, you are correct that the powers in the United States, occupied as they are with a finanacial crisis, NEVER intended to do anything but talk about Iran and a Nuke. It is, as it always has been "an Isreali problem"...if not now, it will be. The UN and Europe won't lift a finger either. Peaceful men like you shall one day know that "talk" is only good for tea parties.