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Monday May 11, 2009

Rosner's Domain: So, what's Obama's position on linkage?

Posted by SHMUEL ROSNER
Comments: 46
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A week ago - when AIPAC supporters were shocked to report that they were told by Rahm Emanuel that "the efforts to stop Iran hinged on peace talks with the Palestinians" - Emanuel denied, sort of. Using the good services of his Atlantic friend, Jeffrey Goldberg, Emanuel (or someone wanting to help him) could make sure that the record straightened out:

Rahm apparently did no such thing. I have it on good authority that Rahm told the audience that Obama believes that it will be easier to enlist Arab allies in the confrontation with Iran if visible progress is made on the Palestinian front. This is inescapably true. But he did not suggest a quid pro quo. That would be blackmail.

The case of James Jones will be harder to deal with:

"We understand Israel's preoccupation with Iran as an existential threat. We agree with that," the senior official was quoted as saying by AFP. However, Jones went on to stress that the Iranian threat only reinforces the need for peace in the region. "By the same token, there are a lot of things that you can do to diminish that existential threat by working hard towards achieving a two-state solution," he reportedly said. 

This is troubling for three reasons:

1. It's rubbish. A TSS isn't going to "diminish that existential threat".

2. It makes Israel a hostage: get a TSS or face existential threat. The problem is that for a TSS to materialize a Palestinian partner is also needed - a party that doesn't exist.

3. Even more troubling: Israel faces the "threat" - Palestinians don't (the Iranians do not threaten them). This presumabely means that Israel is the one who should worry about the TSS more than the Palestinian leadership. This also means that Palestinians might not feel as pressured to compromize, and might think that they are in a position to demand more concessions from Israel.

4. And what if a TSS isn't within reach? (as most experts believe is the case) Would Jones still work to "diminish" the threat?

If you want more, I wrote about the "linkage wars" here.


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1  |  Tom, US, Monday May 11, 2009
Benny isn't going to receive the same carte blanche that Ariel Sharon did with Lord Bush. The fact remains that many of the complications regarding peace in the ME are directly being caused by Israel and until action is taken to mitigate the situation with the Palestinian people the US has bigger fish to fry.
2  |  michel france, Monday May 11, 2009
what is worriyng is that the americans are elluding the only simple honest thing to do for a friend who is threatened: to say loudly and clearly :if you theat my friend you are threatining me and we will respond fully.
3  |  Mladen Andrijasevic, Monday May 11, 2009
Apparently, General James Jones does not understand what the existential threat to Israel is all about. The threat is not the possession by Iran of nuclear weapons per se. It is the possession of nuclear weapons by religious fanatics who according to Bernard Lewis cannot be deterred and who are eager to use them. In this context James Jones’s claim that the two state solution would somehow diminish Iran’s desire to start a nuclear war in order to bring back the Mahdi, the hidden 12th Imam is preposterous. General James Jones needs a crash course in Shia eschatology.
4  |  PunditRich Wisconsin, USA, Monday May 11, 2009
As everyone knows well, what Israel needs are true democratic governments that are not ruled by tiny, rabid, single-issue extremists, because they need to own at least 60 of the 120 Knesset members. It is well known that the vast majority of Israelis and US Jews who enable these successive Israeli government extremists are strongly against the loong occupation, settlements, a HUGE welfare state and many other extremist demanded payments. Consequentially, Israel's fatally flawed political system creates successive misguided governments leading to the inevitable downward spiraling of Israel.
5  |  Terry - Eilat, Israel, Monday May 11, 2009
Our answer to the question of linkage should be to make a preemptive military strike on Iran ASAP. That's the right answer to Obama's amateur-hour blackmail.
6  |  KMB, USA, Monday May 11, 2009
Israel conveniently forgets that if it were not for your insistence that there be Palestinian elections several years ago, which put Hamas in power, Hamas' recognition of Israel would be irrelevant. Why can't you see that by constantly trying to control and manipulate events in the Middle East, you are only creating more problems for yourselves? If you would, for once, just do what is right (not only what is right for Israel, but what is right PERIOD.), you would see that peace is not as elusive as you think. But until you do what is right regardless of what your enemies do, you will suffer.
7  |  Hofikoman, Monday May 11, 2009
The purported "linkage" is a red herring. We know the U.S. wants a comprehensive Middle Eastern Settlement, or at least an Arab Sunni/Israel settlement which entails almost complete Israeli withdrawal and a Palestinian State. What Netanyahu will insit on with Washington is that the process of implementation is honest and real. If Obama accepts that, (and why O would go for pressure, when his whole approach is to not pressure or be pressured!), the ball will squarely fall into the Arab court. If O opts for pressure in Israel's case only, Israel will stand up to the pressure.
8  |  American, Monday May 11, 2009
America is no longer an Israeli colony. It is time Jews realize this fact.
9  |  Amarilys Pons, Monday May 11, 2009
Get Anti Semites like "American" and "Tom" and "Avi" who claims to be from Tel Aviv but is probably from Gaza, get them all off this board and out of the Jerusalem Post !!! I have a paid subscription to the print edition. I buy from the advertisers. When I post, my posts are supportive of the Jewish people and Israel. I pay, in my way, Rosners salary and the board monitors salary. The HATERS previously named and their many compatriots (although it could be one or two people in Gaza posting under fake names) can easily be identifird by the board monitor. Let them post on Nazi hate sites!
10  |  mick uk, Monday May 11, 2009
TO my friends in israel.this is your land,the GOD of israel as said so,GOD has set his name on jerusalem,no other nation can say this wonderful attribute.PLease dont even think about giving away your land,and take no notice of obama blair and brown,by the way not even the pope.joel 3 v 2.
11  |  Not an American, Tuesday May 12, 2009
#8 Its time America realizes that Israel is NOT an american colony. Israelis an independent country with it's own laws and it has the responsabily to protect its citizens.
12  |  L Chicago, Tuesday May 12, 2009
How is number 8 "appropriate for posting" on this "moderated blog"?
13  |  Ronald USA, Tuesday May 12, 2009
#8 American, Here's another fact that you should make note of: the time when Jews will cower passively and do nothing while anti-semites beat them up is no longer. It is incredible that you would paint the 300 million strong people of America as victims of 7 million Jews in Israel. I would love to have some of those drugs you must be taking.
14  |  Retired Marine Officer and Banker, Tuesday May 12, 2009
Gen. Jones: I humbly disagree. I served under FR Chair, JCS General Peter Pace in 1st MAR DIV. I humbly disagree with the current administration's "projected" view of priority here. Israel is a small country with its mandate based in The Balfour Declaration. Alienating Israel today, the strongest of our allies in the ME, based on bogus "moral relativism" gives room for revisionism's slippery slope of denying Israel’s right to exist. It flies in the face of UN resolution 242. I am confident that your colleague above agrees. "Take care of your men & they'll take care of you" he taught me! SF
15  |  Sociologist, Tuesday May 12, 2009
What really perplexes me are the "American assets" in Israel? Although we know that 78% of the American Jews voted for Obama based on traditional democratic proclivity, his promises to be a "true friend" of Israel, & the anti-Palin factor, Obama risks losing that populous to a determined more moderate GOP in the next go-round if he doesn't protect Israel. Jews may be less than 2% of the electorate, but they all show up to vote, run the media in general, & advise in very high political offices, hold numerous seats in congress, & lead in science & art. No delivery, no 2nd term!
16  |  John Reilly San Diego, Tuesday May 12, 2009
General James Jones, or whatever his name is, sounds as ridiculous as Jorge W. Botch and his "Weapons of Mass Destruction". Neither policies are based on facts. I challenge Jones to present hard facts that Iran will relent in it's quest for the nuclear destruction of Israel if the Arabs get a 28th State, or that the Arabs will march against Iran if that 28th state is carved out of Israel.
17  |  Sociologist, Tuesday May 12, 2009
What really perplexes me are the "American assets" in Israel? Although we know that 78% of the American Jews voted for Obama based on traditional democratic proclivity, his promises to be a "true friend" of Israel, & the anti-Palin factor, Obama risks losing that populous to a determined more moderate GOP in the next go-round if he doesn't protect Israel. Jews may be less than 2% of the electorate, but they all show up to vote, run the media in general, & advise in very high political offices, hold numerous seats in congress, & lead in science & art. No delivery, no 2nd term!
18  |  evangelical Christian, Tuesday May 12, 2009
pub, you are misrepresenting the facts: First, these so called rockets are homemade fire crackers, not real weapons. Hamas fired 10,000 rockets, but only a few Israelis were killed. This is while Israel exterminated tens of thousands of innocent people by white Phosphorus. Also, you should ask why Palestinians fire these home-made projectiles: It is an outcry for justice, they are being besieged like Jews at Ghetto warsaw. Palestinians are denied access to food, medicine, clean water, essential consumer products because Israel doesn't like the outcome of Palestinian elections.
19  |  Evangelical Christian, Tuesday May 12, 2009
pub, the Zionist Jew. Obama was elected by a majority of the American people. And you accuse him of trashing the US..by trying to deliver America from the Zionist stranglhold. well, it is either most Americans were stupid and gullible and naive, or you are a liar.
20  |  Avi, Tuesday May 12, 2009
pub, the AIPAC supporter: If Palestinians, as you say, will have to be absorbed into the arab world, by the same token Jews would have to be absorbed back into the Khazar region where they originated. After all, 99% of Ashkenazi Jews are neither Semitic nor Middle Easter. They belong to the Khazar region and Eastern Europe. Just look at their faces, they don't look Middle Eastern.
21  |  ina-scotland, Tuesday May 12, 2009
evangelica muslim I would advise you to get your facts right and go to youtube and see what your palistinian brothers are doing to one another[and it's on their own network]also watch walid shoebat an ex palistinian terrorist's testimony about what's really happening there.THese poor souls are killing each other to appease a bloodthirsty diety and blowing themselves up believing that their dead sacrifices will get them 70 virgins.What about your poor women,where do they go?,and teaching your little ones to hate,how hellish is that mindset,whereas Israel love their children.
22  |  ina-scotland, Tuesday May 12, 2009
evangelica muslim I would advise you to get your facts right and go to youtube and see what your palistinian brothers are doing to one another[and it's on their own network]also watch walid shoebat an ex palistinian terrorist's testimony about what's really happening there.THese poor souls are killing each other to appease a bloodthirsty diety and blowing themselves up believing that their dead sacrifices will get them 70 virgins.What about your poor women,where do they go?,and teaching your little ones to hate,how hellish is that mindset,whereas Israel love their children.
23  |  victoria knight medford oregon, Tuesday May 12, 2009
there should be no compromise for the jewish people israel is there's and that is the final word. To me it makes no sense for anyone to question the facts. there is plenty in the world for others somewhere else and this fighting over israel is ridiculous. it would be the same if i was trying to take someone car or etc. God bless the palenstinians i think the rest of the world should send a strong message this is the way it is and thats final and maybe they could get some resolution with out all this back and forth nonsense!
24  |  victoria knight medford oregon, Tuesday May 12, 2009
israel love your enemies it is your country but people are people so kindness without discrimination is fine let israel be kind to her enemies just has christ has commanded~
25  |  evangelical, Tuesday May 12, 2009
Ina, the Palestinians are fighting for their freedom from the shackles of European Land thieves, otherwise known as Ashkenazi Jews. Israel is a country based on murder, theft and mendacity. It will have to go You murdered their children, you stole their homes, you destroyed their farms, and you expelled them to the four corners of the globe. And after all you have done to them, you have the guts to call them terrorists. You are the real terrorists, you are the real murderers, you are the real Nazis. When Jews or anyoen else think, behave and act like Nazis, they become Nazis.
26  |  littleoleamerican, Tuesday May 12, 2009
The Arab countries cannot achieve peace with one another, much less Israel. In Lebanon, Syria and other Arab nations, Palestinians are treated as sub-human. Yet, they have the audacity to blame Israel, accuse her of the racism and prejudice that they themselves are guilty of. That makes the Palestinians into scapegoats for Ahmadinejad et al. The Arabs could easily make peace in the region if they really desired it. Israel has proven its willingness for peace over the years, all for nought. The West is in as much danger as Israel. We had better know who our REAL friends are.
27  |  yudi F USA, Tuesday May 12, 2009
Hey Evangelical wait until the "EVANGELICAL MUSLIMS come after your tuchas! What evangelical ideals come from your bigoted throat? You're an evangelical for hate and even a Jesus hater. WWJD if he saw you rantings of hate to His people. You ARE THE NAZI HERE> JOIN HITLER IN HELL!
28  |  Ray B USA, Tuesday May 12, 2009
To Tom and the so called "american"...You traitors to the USA dont even know that it was Muslima that bombed 9/11..it was Muslims that bombed the USS Cole and killed 241 marines in Beruit. They bombed London and Madrids subways and embassies ..killing inniocnet people all over. I could on and on! BUT you blame Israel...You Jew haters are the curse of this world. We Jews will be here when the worms are eating your guts out in your graves!
29  |  George USA, Tuesday May 12, 2009
Hussein should realize that even with the help of axelord he might not get another term with all his famous talk, he behave like he is still in election time , and he should stop sending his valet biden; to do his dirty work. I guess we are going back to 1939 when the nazis blamed the jews for all germany evils; now hussein is also doing the same . Jews and Israel have existed for more than one term or two terms of presidency; please remenber that .
30  |  George USA, Tuesday May 12, 2009
Hussein should realize that even with the help of axelord he might not get another term with all his famous talk, he behave like he is still in election time , and he should stop sending his valet biden; to do his dirty work. I guess we are going back to 1939 when the nazis blamed the jews for all germany evils; now hussein is also doing the same . Jews and Israel have existed for more than one term or two terms of presidency; please remenber that .
31  |  George USA, Tuesday May 12, 2009
Hussein should realize that even with the help of axelord he might not get another term with all his famous talk, he behave like he is still in election time , and he should stop sending his valet biden; to do his dirty work. I guess we are going back to 1939 when the nazis blamed the jews for all germany evils; now hussein is also doing the same . Jews and Israel have existed for more than one term or two terms of presidency; please remenber that .
32  |  George USA, Tuesday May 12, 2009
Hussein should realize that even with the help of axelord he might not get another term with all his famous talk, he behave like he is still in election time , and he should stop sending his valet biden; to do his dirty work. I guess we are going back to 1939 when the nazis blamed the jews for all germany evils; now hussein is also doing the same . Jews and Israel have existed for more than one term or two terms of presidency; please remenber that .
33  |  George USA, Tuesday May 12, 2009
Hussein should realize that even with the help of axelord he might not get another term with all his famous talk, he behave like he is still in election time , and he should stop sending his valet biden; to do his dirty work. I guess we are going back to 1939 when the nazis blamed the jews for all germany evils; now hussein is also doing the same . Jews and Israel have existed for more than one term or two terms of presidency; please remenber that .
34  |  Christian from California, Wednesday May 13, 2009
Yudi, a person doesn't become Nazi just because you say he or she is a Nazi. The real Nazi is one who thinks, behaves and acts like Nazis. The real Nazis are those who rain death on innocent civilians in Gaza, who build settlements on occupied teritories...who classify people into "ubermenschen" and "untermenschen...like Israel is doing in the West Bank. What do you know about Nazis? Have you been to Israel? Have you seen how Judeo Nazis settlers are treatiinf Christians and Muslims? Or are you just babblign mindlessly not knowing what you are talking about?
35  |  Jose. Houston, Texas, Wednesday May 13, 2009
Israel is a child of the US and she loves her dearly. But, as a petulant and spoilt child she has become, the time has come for the whip to be unleashed over Israel's backside. Reason: ISRAEL FAILED TO DESTROY HAMAS AND HEZBOLLAH!!!! This is the linkage Rosner doesn't understand about Obama. He likes his tasks competently done, thus he has no faith at the present time that Israel has that capacity to destroy Iran. Israel attacks Iran, Iran responds. Then what? Will Israel continue to wage its failed star wars? This is why from his POV, Palestine and Iran are inextricably linked, militarily.
36  |  Brian Sandridge CT, USA, Wednesday May 13, 2009
To PUNDITRICH your message was reminiscent of Soviet style propaganda: "It is well known"...., "As everyone knows well" etc. No, it is not well known nor self-evident that a 2 State "Solution" will result in anything other than the end of a Jewish State called Israel.
37  |  Lee USA, Wednesday May 13, 2009
When all the nations fail I mean all nations Israel will still be here. 1948 they became a nation won two wars against all odds and America needs Israel and everytime America makes Israel give up their land America gets hit with natural disasters like never before. Remember what GOD said I will bless them that bless Israel and will curse those who curse Israel.
38  |  Tom, US, Wednesday May 13, 2009
28 | Ray B USA - Sound asleep at the switch again hey Ray ? ? ? Remember the 5 Mossad who were filming the jets hit the towers from before all the way through ? ? ? Remember the more than 200 mossad who were quietly deported ? ? ? Anybody lose their nanothermite ? ? ?
39  |  lydia, Wednesday May 13, 2009
28. It was the jews who bombed the US Liberty and the jews who lay siege to Gaza and the jews who are responsible for the ghettoizing and annihilation of the Palestinians whose only crime is that the jews covet their land. It was the jews who bombed the UN peace keepers in Lebanon, the jews who bombed the UN compound in Gaza. Israel still continues to circumvent numerous UN resolutions then feigns victim hood. It's the jews who would have us in never ending wars to defend their indefensible threat to world peace and to mankind. The verdict is still out on jewish involvement in 9/11.
40  |  Dean Arnold Helena, Montana USA, Wednesday May 13, 2009
Israel will have to bomb Iran and the world will benifit. because we will all be safer. America is realy scared from the onslot of muslem terrorism. were also bankrupt, You can tell because we dont want to face the facts and blame others that are truly in the fight for there very existence. I pray we repent and follow God then He will bring success along with liberty and justice for all. America looks to me like were getting a souvern spanking.
41  |  CINDY USA, Wednesday May 13, 2009
iSREAL, YOU WILL NEVER BE DEFEATED, YOU ARE THE APPLE OF GOD'S EYE! THOUGH YOUR ENEMYS ARE ROUND ABOUT YOU, STAND IN THE ONE WHO MADE YOU, THE MIGHTY GOD OF ISREAL ABRAHAM, ISSAC AND JACOB. FOR WITH HIM NO ENEMY CAN STAND. WE LOVE YOU AND KNOW THAT NO ONE OR NOTHING CAN DISTROY YOU..
42  |  admirer, Wednesday May 13, 2009
#39, Madam, I salute you for your honesty. America needs many people of your caliber. God bless you.
43  |  andy-london, Thursday May 14, 2009
39and41 yes your president obama will need you lot.Mind and take the nation of islam along with you.YOUR bloodthirsty diety will want as many dead sacrifices as he can get then you can get your 70 demons oh I meant virgins .Poor lydia what do you get.?
44  |  THE GURU Australia, Friday May 15, 2009
To LYDIA...and her butt kissing "admirer" @42 ...the Virdict has ALWAYS been out....ACTUALLY it was Hussien OBAMA as protege of Bin Ladin who planned and executed ALL attacks against the US....most notably 9/11.HE is the favourite (named after himself) love child of OSAMA bin Laden the Godfather of Islamist Terrorism.... Osama has many sons like Ahmedenejeb Nasralella Abbas Assad and all those other half brothers of Hussien....together with those other islamist terrorist termites crawling out of the woodwork...all the love children of bin Laden...Boy ! what a stud ! RELISH THAT and ENJOY *
45  |  THE GURU Australia, Friday May 15, 2009
To LYDIA...and her butt kissing "admirer" @42 ...the Virdict has ALWAYS been out....ACTUALLY it was Hussien OBAMA as protege of Bin Ladin who planned and executed ALL attacks against the US....most notably 9/11.HE is the favourite (named after himself) love child of OSAMA bin Laden the Godfather of Islamist Terrorism.... Osama has many sons like Ahmedenejeb Nasralella Abbas Assad and all those other half brothers of Hussien....together with those other islamist terrorist termites crawling out of the woodwork...all the love children of bin Laden...Boy ! what a stud ! RELISH THAT and ENJOY *
46  |  andy-london, Friday May 15, 2009
cindy i apoligise i meant #42 not you.Admirer you must be pleased that ISRAEL has such an OPEN and FREEpress The nazis who you and your pals fashion YOUR press upon allowed no such freedom,but of course you would know all about that as your people [the muslims from eastern europe] helped the nazis with their own army to kill the Jews and served hitler with gusto.
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