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Tuesday Mar 04, 2008
Koch's Comments: The US and global warming Posted by Ed Koch
Comments: 12
Al Gore won national recognition because of his effective and ongoing campaign to alert the US and the world to the dangers of global warming. His campaign has garnered him, among other things, an academy award for his documentary, "An Inconvenient Truth" and the Nobel Peace Prize. I accept the likelihood that global warming has been building as a result of human activity, and in particular, the creation of greenhouse gases - primarily the result of fossil fuel use. However, because the world has been heating up and cooling down for millions of years without human help, some doubt remains. That's one reason I have not joined the efforts to criticize President Bush because he, along with the US Senate, have declined to support the Kyoto protocols. That treaty effectively imposes severe limitations on the use by developed countries such as the US, Japan and Western Europe, of oil and coal which are primarily responsible for creating greenhouse gases, while exempting from mandatory reductions the so-called developing countries such as India and China. The implicit rationale for the disparate treatment of developed and developing countries is that the latter need an opportunity to catch up economically with the former. China is now the second largest user of fossil fuels - immediately after the US - having surpassed Japan which formerly held that position. Both China and India are today advancing industrially and commercially. They are adding to their countries' gross domestic product and share of the world markets, while the US is losing market share. The New York Times reported on January 28, 2007, "According to Goldman Sachs, the United States' share of global gross domestic product fell to 27.7 percent in 2006 from 31 percent in 2000. In the same period, the share of Brazil, Russia, India and China - the rapidly growing emerging markets referred to as the BRICs - rose to 11 percent from 7.8 percent. China alone accounts for 5.4 percent." According to The New York Times of February 27, 2008, James L. Connaughton, chairman of the White House Council on Environmental Quality, said "the United States could accept a binding treaty if it included mandatory steps by China and other big developing countries as well. An acceptable pact, he said, would have all the world's economic powerhouses, established or emerging, agree to a long-term goal for deep cuts in greenhouse gas emissions at some point, and commit to take measurable, verifiable steps domestically in the short term." I believe that our position is responsible and fair. The US is way ahead of other nations in standard of living, yet we still have a significant sector of our population living below the poverty line. Why is it acceptable to punish the US, its rich, middle and poor classes, reducing our standard of living and employment levels so that other countries can rise in theirs while we fall in ours? If we want to voluntarily assist other countries in dealing with their poverty levels, we should do so and in fact, we do. The US is still the world's dominant donor of food aid. Most Americans, and I am among them, are not for a world government that might have as its ultimate goal a single standard of living for the people of this earth of which there are now more than six billion. Yes, we have been fortunate in achieving our current standard of living. But I don't believe that we should agree to be punished for that by other countries sitting in envious judgment. To those who say we have succeeded on the backs of others, I say, there are very few countries, if any, that have not engaged in irresponsible activities equal to or worse than those perpetrated by the US. Overall, I believe Americans can be proud of our contributions to the rest of the world. Foremost in my mind is our having saved Europe and Asia in World Wars I and II from an axis victory, and the Marshall Plan that followed World War II. Now, we are told by The Times in its report on March 2nd that something is happening environmentally that was unexpected, "The world has seen some extraordinary winter conditions in both hemispheres over the past year: snow in Johannesburg last June and in Baghdad in January, Arctic sea ice returning with a vengeance after a record retreat last summer, paralyzing blizzards in China, and a sharp drop in the globe's average temperature." We have also been told over the last few years that the polar bear's very existence is in danger because of the disappearance of ice floes and the danger of bears drowning while swimming from one ice floe to another. What should we make of The Times report, "The shifts in the extent and thickness of sea ice in the Arctic (where ice has retreated significantly in recent summers) and Antarctic (where the area of floating sea ice has grown lately) are similarly hard to attribute to particular influences." Conditions of global warming and global cooling seem to confront one another, so what's a poor layman to do when deciding what remedies to support? I am for being cautious and seeking to reduce the greenhouse gas buildup as a matter of public policy. I believe we should do so in a manner that requires all countries to make mandatory reductions and that includes China and India, as well as ourselves. I do not believe that we in the US should adopt a masochistic policy that sacrifices the economic welfare of our own people. There are people worldwide and within our own country who believe the US to which so many people across the world would like to immigrate, should self-sacrifice and accept inequitable, onerous policies for itself, e.g., have open borders while other countries control theirs, reduce our standard of living by reducing our use of energy (fossil fuels) while leaving others unrestrained in their pollution. I do not share that view. There are those who will say that my view and the present policy of the US is selfish. I think not. Sacrifice should be universal and proportional. This is simple fairness, and not selfishness.
1 | Ittai New York, Tuesday Mar 04, 2008
Mr. Mayor,
Thank you for such a well-reasoned and rational analysis of the global warming debate. This kind of opinion is an extreme rarity these days with most supporters of the theory of man-made global warming villifying their detractors and pursuing their argument with a sort of blind fanaticism reminiscint of some religious movements (skeptics are often equated to holocaust deniers).
Your article repesents the cautiuos, yet well-intentioned view of the silent majority. It's nice to see some reasonable thinking introduced to the debate.
2 | Mark in Mesa, AZ, Tuesday Mar 04, 2008
Thank you Mayor Koch for daring to use reason and moderation in regard to what has become a political third rail issue. I too am a conservationist at heart, but not one who's willing to (pardon the non-GW friendly analogy) burn the wheelhouse to propel the boat. The public's perception of this issue is formed entirely by what the press chooses to bombard them with - vague references to polar bear woes (while the populations are actually increasing), yet nary a word about the dramatic 2007 temperature drop that reversed the last century of warming.
3 | Mark in Mesa, AZ, Tuesday Mar 04, 2008
Here in Arizona, many wring their hands over the haze that forms over the Phoenix east valley and makes the horizon indistinct. Yet having lived in Beijing in the 90's, I can recount many winter days when the smog blanket was so thick that it was literally impossible to see across the width of a city street. Trying to "fix" the former with draconian methods while ignoring the latter is a fool's game, and I'm not willing to play.
I hope more influential leaders will follow Mayor Koch's example and restart thoughtful dialogue on this issue.
4 | Jack B., Tuesday Mar 04, 2008
Mayor Koch strikes a good balance in his worldview as regards to global warming. As he states in his post, warming and cooling are always taking place. The science really is incomplete at this time due to the impossibility of predicting the future and having no current method to fully understand a complex and chaotic system such as the earth's climate. Just this past year, the earth experienced, from the best evidence now available, a significant cooling. It's time to return to rational thinking about such complex matters.
5 | Sid - Redlands, CA, Tuesday Mar 04, 2008
As usual, Ed Koch sees things as they are and not as he wishes they were.
I would only add a greater dose of skepticism about the very fact of global warming, especially as it relates to human influence.
6 | Morton Friedman Lanham, MD USA, Tuesday Mar 04, 2008
Yes Ed, the science of global warming leaves a lot to be desired. It is in part due to the egotism of man, and neglects that Mother Nature is far more powerful. It is reminiscent of proposals to stop hurricanes with atomic bombs, until someone saw that an A-bomb would just be a mere pin-prick. A little data can go a long way, ignoring natural cycles of 100's of years, nay 1000's, to make political arguments... but they sound good. Note that with all our expertise, weather prediction, although much improved, is far from an exact science. Are you planning a picnic this weekend?
7 | Matthew Joseph US, Tuesday Mar 04, 2008
It is a sad truth to hear This is what happens when politicians sell out there souls and people for money and comforts. You should of ran Mr Koch I think you could of took this election.I am from chicago and remember when you where in office,NYC did not make the papers everyday like now with all the evil that is spreading ALso today when a person announces there faith as a way to win votes don't people question if they ever had faith
To bad there are more like you yes daley did a good job of cleaning up the city but for who? the Rich! God bless and Peace always Matthew
8 | David Katcoff, Jericho, Vt, Wednesday Mar 05, 2008
Thx, Ed. I hope people will give your proposals a warm reception.
9 | Gerard, Tallahassee, Florida, Wednesday Mar 05, 2008
Thank you, Mr. Mayor for a well-reasoned analysis. Now tell Senators Clinton and Obama.
10 | Alan Grosser, Wednesday Mar 05, 2008
Mayor Koch,
You were my hero when you were mayor and certasinly now with your valued comments, TV, radio and editorial, on a variety of vital topics. You would have added to my estimate if you had agreed to run for high office in the US. President, perhaps, Vice President certainly. I've heard you say how comfortable you are doing what you are doing, but consider sacrificing this comfort for the benefit of the country. You would have a surprizingly great following.
Al Grosser
Bronx, NY
11 | Axel, Germany, Wednesday Mar 05, 2008
# 4 jack: "having no current method to fully understand a complex and chaotic system such as the earth's climate." If only such statements would not come from those who with their next breath are quoting some Bagdad snowflakes as "evidence" ...
12 | C Keel, Georgia, USA, Wednesday Mar 05, 2008
Mr Mayor, as usual you have demonstrated why you are a leader. As a layman, I do not understand all of the arguments concerning global warming. But I am always leary of people who struggle for power by playing on the fears of the common man. And given the close relationships that the Clintons and Al Gore have with leaders in China, and old axiom comes to mind. "When in doubt, follow the money".
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